To quote from Avaaz “World leaders at the UN climate talks have just set a landmark goal that can save everything we love! ” To see the full Avaaz announcement click We did it! — A turning point in human history
For a real time view of the COP21 negotiating text Carbon Brief have published their ‘bubble‘.
Carbon Brief also have a list of all of the first day speakers. Game changing announcements included one from India that offered some hope of a change from the coal stance of this major emitter and from global business leaders seeking to use their influence and resources to lower greenhouse gases.
The Highgate Neighbourhood Forum (HNF) has set up ‘Community Action Groups’ to work on topics such as volunteering and to support cycling, and one group is called ‘Community Energy’.
The group met in July to see if there was scope to set up a community scheme in Highgate, and one site that looked very hopeful for installing Solar PV panels was Camden’s Holly Lodge estate. This consists of 32 Blocks with flat roofs, typically suitable for 4kWp of solar PV panels each and one block already has a small installation. More
(added 4th Nov 2015) Carbon Brief reports on ‘Is the Antarctica gaining or losing ice‘ – based on data to 2008 and (added 19th Nov 2015) ‘Melting Antarctic ice sheets could add up to 30cm to sea levels by 2100‘ “The results suggest a most likely contribution from Antarctic glaciers to sea levels of 10cm by 2100, up to a maximum of 30cm.”
The talk in Sept 2015 discussed the ‘Antarctica Renewal of International Protocol 2041’ and the work of the 2041 organisation to ensure that the moratorium that protects the Antarctic continues past this date.
Charlie Drew is a young North Londoner who is to start his degree at Durham at the end of September. He has been involved in an inspiring project in the Antarctic.
2041 was founded by well-known polar explorer and environmental leader Robert Swan, OBE, the first person in history to walk to both the North and South Poles. Swan has dedicated his life to the preservation of Antarctica by the promotion of recycling, renewable energy and sustainability to combat the effects of climate change.
Readiness for the Paris COP21 conference
Carbon Brief lays out the timetable for preparations, with an update on the draft text following the final meeting of negotiators before the December convention.
- 30 October – UN releases its “aggregation” report of INDCs
The release shows that: “Aggregate global emission levels resulting from the implementation of INDCs will not fall within least-cost 2 °C scenarios“ Climate Action Tracker assesses ‘fairness’ of the contributions by countries. The combined EU contribution is judged as “Not consistent with limiting warming below 2°C.”
- 8-10 November – Ministerial pre-COP, France
- 15-16 November – G20 Leaders’ Summit, Turkey
- 30 November – 11 December – 21st Conference of Parties, Paris
Jeremy Leggett will publish the final chapter of his diary “The Winning of the Carbon Wars” on 3rd November. The story so far from May 2013 puts context around the jostling and lobbying to get (or to scupper) global agreements at the Conference of the Parties in Paris .
The Institute of Environment and Development confirms that there is still much debate about the contributions of the ‘developed’ countries compared with the ‘Least Developed Countries’ in Climate negotiations: the last stop before Paris. on 19th Oct “The current draft documents are unbalanced and weak. Many of the elements that are supremely important for the Least Developed Countries (LDCs) are completely missing or poorly reflected“
In Prospects for the Paris climate summit. Stephen Tindale confirms that financial contributions for paying for effects of climate change are a major sticking point to reaching an agreement. He also notes that the UK’s own energy policy is in chaos.
“As the summit wraps up in Paris, the climate movement is already planning to have the last word.
2015 is on track to be the hottest year in recorded history, and this December hundreds of world governments will meet in Paris to try to strike a global climate agreement. It will be the biggest gathering of its kind since 2009, and it’s a big moment for the global climate movement.
So far, however, commitments from world governments just aren’t adding up. This has the makings of a global failure of ambition — and at a moment when renewable energy is becoming a revolutionary economic force that could power a just transition away from fossil fuels.
On the other hand, this could be a turning point — a shift in power away from the industries causing the climate crisis and toward people fighting for climate justice. But only if we push for it.
We can’t afford to wait politely for world governments to act. We are the ones that we’ve been waiting for.”
Muswell Hill July Talk
Can there be a deal? Yes – all parties want it.
Will there be a deal? This is about 60% probable.
Will the deal be sufficient? No, but a weak deal will be better than none. See the outcome from the July 2015 Scientific Pre Paris conference
Prof. Michael Jacobs, visiting professor at UCL and LSE and an expert on climate and energy policy, gave a talk on this vital topic on Monday 13 July, at a meeting organized by the Muswell Hill Sustainability Group. Prof. Jacobs is at present advising the French Government on preparations for the Climate Change summit in Paris later this year.
His talk addressed 4 main issues:
- Can a new climate deal be agreed this year?
- What is the shape of the emerging deal?
- Why there are good reasons to believe a deal is possible.
- What are the likely features and obstacles.